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成交量均值回归策略

该策略关注成交量相对其历史均值的异常高低。巨大成交量峰值往往在活动恢复正常后回落，提供逆势交易机会。

测试表明年均收益约为 76%，该策略在外汇市场表现最佳。

当成交量低于均值减 DeviationMultiplier 倍标准差且价格在均线下方时做多；当成交量高于上轨并且价格位于均线之上时做空。成交量回到均值附近即平仓。

此方法适合关注放量后的衰减行情，百分比止损可避免成交量持续扩大时产生过大损失。

详细信息

  • 入场条件:
    • 做多: Volume < Avg - DeviationMultiplier * StdDev && Close < MA
    • 做空: Volume > Avg + DeviationMultiplier * StdDev && Close > MA
  • 多空方向: 双向
  • 退出条件:
    • 做多: Exit when volume > Avg
    • 做空: Exit when volume < Avg
  • 止损: 是
  • 默认值:
    • AveragePeriod = 20
    • DeviationMultiplier = 2
    • CandleType = TimeSpan.FromMinutes(5)
    • StopLossPercent = 2 Avg和StdDev为最近AveragePeriod个成交量值（含当前值）的平均值和标准差，MA为最近AveragePeriod个收盘价的简单移动平均。止损为入场价的固定StopLossPercent百分比，在K线之间同样监控；设为0则关闭。与持仓方向相反的入场信号会反转持仓。
  • 筛选条件:
    • 类别: 均值回归
    • 方向: 双向
    • 指标: Volume
    • 止损: 是
    • 复杂度: 中等
    • 时间框架: 日内
    • 季节性: 否
    • 神经网络: 否
    • 背离: 否
    • 风险等级: 中等
using System;
using System.Collections.Generic;
using System.Linq;

using Ecng.Common;

using StockSharp.Algo.Indicators;
using StockSharp.Algo.Strategies;
using StockSharp.BusinessEntities;
using StockSharp.Messages;

namespace StockSharp.Samples.Strategies;

/// <summary>
/// Volume Mean Reversion strategy.
/// The bands lie DeviationMultiplier standard deviations around the average of the last AveragePeriod volume values, the current one included.
/// volume below the lower band with the close below the AveragePeriod simple moving average goes long and volume above the upper band with the close above it goes short,
/// reversing an opposite position. A long closes once volume is back above its average and a short once it is back below it, and a percent stop limits the loss.
/// </summary>
public class VolumeMeanReversionStrategy : Strategy
{
	private readonly StrategyParam<int> _averagePeriod;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _deviationMultiplier;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _stopLossPercent;
	private readonly StrategyParam<DataType> _candleType;

	private readonly Queue<decimal> _values = [];

	/// <summary>
	/// Values of volume the average and the standard deviation span.
	/// </summary>
	public int AveragePeriod
	{
		get => _averagePeriod.Value;
		set => _averagePeriod.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// Standard deviations between the average and a band.
	/// </summary>
	public decimal DeviationMultiplier
	{
		get => _deviationMultiplier.Value;
		set => _deviationMultiplier.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// Stop loss percentage from entry price.
	/// </summary>
	public decimal StopLossPercent
	{
		get => _stopLossPercent.Value;
		set => _stopLossPercent.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// Candle type.
	/// </summary>
	public DataType CandleType
	{
		get => _candleType.Value;
		set => _candleType.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// Constructor.
	/// </summary>
	public VolumeMeanReversionStrategy()
	{
		_averagePeriod = Param(nameof(AveragePeriod), 20)
			.SetGreaterThanZero()
			.SetDisplay("Average Period", "Values of volume the average and the standard deviation span", "Indicators");

		_deviationMultiplier = Param(nameof(DeviationMultiplier), 2m)
			.SetGreaterThanZero()
			.SetDisplay("Multiplier", "Standard deviations between the average and a band", "Indicators");

		_stopLossPercent = Param(nameof(StopLossPercent), 2m)
			.SetNotNegative()
			.SetDisplay("Stop Loss %", "Stop loss percentage from entry price", "Risk");

		_candleType = Param(nameof(CandleType), TimeSpan.FromMinutes(5).TimeFrame())
			.SetDisplay("Candle Type", "Type of candles to use", "General");
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	public override IEnumerable<(Security sec, DataType dt)> GetWorkingSecurities()
	{
		return [(Security, CandleType)];
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	protected override void OnReseted()
	{
		base.OnReseted();
		_values.Clear();
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	protected override void OnStarted2(DateTime time)
	{
		base.OnStarted2(time);

		_values.Clear();

		var sma = new SimpleMovingAverage { Length = AveragePeriod };

		var subscription = SubscribeCandles(CandleType);
		subscription
			.BindEx(sma, ProcessCandle)
			.Start();

		StartProtection(new Unit(), new Unit(StopLossPercent, UnitTypes.Percent), useMarketOrders: true, isLocalStop: true);

		// The stop has to see prices between candles, not only at their close.
		foreach (var field in new[] { Level1Fields.BestBidPrice, Level1Fields.BestAskPrice })
		{
			var quotes = new Subscription(DataType.Level1, Security);
			quotes.MarketData.BuildField = field;
			SubscribeLevel1(quotes).Bind(ObserveProtectionQuote).Start();
		}

		var area = CreateChartArea();
		if (area != null)
		{
			DrawCandles(area, subscription);
			DrawIndicator(area, sma);
			DrawOwnTrades(area);
		}
	}

	private void ObserveProtectionQuote(Level1ChangeMessage quote)
	{
		// The high-level handler activates native protection before this callback, also between signal bars.
	}

	private void ProcessCandle(ICandleMessage candle, IIndicatorValue smaValue)
	{
		if (candle.State != CandleStates.Finished)
			return;

		var value = candle.TotalVolume;

		_values.Enqueue(value);

		if (_values.Count > AveragePeriod)
			_values.Dequeue();

		if (_values.Count < AveragePeriod || !smaValue.IsFormed)
			return;

		if (!IsFormedAndOnlineAndAllowTrading())
			return;

		var mean = _values.Average();
		var deviation = (decimal)Math.Sqrt((double)_values.Average(v => (v - mean) * (v - mean)));
		var upper = mean + DeviationMultiplier * deviation;
		var lower = mean - DeviationMultiplier * deviation;
		var close = candle.ClosePrice;
		var ma = smaValue.GetValue<decimal>();

		if (value < lower && close < ma && Position <= 0)
			BuyMarket(Volume + Math.Abs(Position));
		else if (value > upper && close > ma && Position >= 0)
			SellMarket(Volume + Math.Abs(Position));
		else if (Position > 0 && value > mean)
			SellMarket(Position);
		else if (Position < 0 && value < mean)
			BuyMarket(-Position);
	}
}