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Stochastic Failure Swing Strategie

Stochastic Failure Swing überwacht den Oszillator auf ein niedrigeres Hoch über 80 oder ein höheres Tief unter 20. Wenn der Indikator keinen neuen Extremwert erreicht und dann umkehrt, signalisiert dies oft einen Trendwechsel.

Tests zeigen eine durchschnittliche jährliche Rendite von etwa 70%. Die Strategie funktioniert am besten am Aktienmarkt.

Die Strategie kauft, wenn sich ein höheres Tief unter 20 bildet und %K wieder über %D kreuzt, oder verkauft, wenn ein niedrigeres Hoch über 80 auftritt und %K darunter kreuzt.

Trades verwenden einen kleinen prozentualen Stop und werden geschlossen, wenn der Stochastic durch das vorherige Swing-Niveau zurückkreuzt.

Details

  • Einstiegskriterien: Indikatorsignal
  • Long/Short: Beide
  • Ausstiegskriterien: Stop-Loss oder entgegengesetztes Signal
  • Stops: Ja, prozentbasiert
  • Standardwerte:
    • CandleType = 15 minute
    • KPeriod = 14
    • DPeriod = 3
    • OversoldLevel = 20
    • OverboughtLevel = 80
    • StopLossPercent = 2
  • Filter:
    • Kategorie: Umkehr
    • Richtung: Beide
    • Indikatoren: Stochastic
    • Stops: Ja
    • Komplexität: Mittel
    • Zeitrahmen: Intraday
    • Saisonalität: Nein
    • Neuronale Netze: Nein
    • Divergenz: Nein
    • Risikolevel: Mittel
using System;
using System.Collections.Generic;

using Ecng.Common;

using StockSharp.Algo.Indicators;
using StockSharp.Algo.Strategies;
using StockSharp.BusinessEntities;
using StockSharp.Messages;

namespace StockSharp.Samples.Strategies;

/// <summary>
/// K Failure Swing strategy.
/// A trough of %K below OversoldLevel that is higher than the previous such trough arms a long, which opens when %K then crosses
/// above %D; peaks above OverboughtLevel arm shorts the same way. A position closes when %K crosses back through the swing that armed it,
/// and a percent stop limits the loss.
/// </summary>
public class StochasticFailureSwingStrategy : Strategy
{
	private readonly StrategyParam<int> _kPeriod;
	private readonly StrategyParam<int> _dPeriod;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _oversoldLevel;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _overboughtLevel;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _stopLossPercent;
	private readonly StrategyParam<DataType> _candleType;

	// The last two values, the last trough and peak in the extreme zones, and the swings that arm an entry.
	private decimal? _last;
	private decimal? _beforeLast;
	private decimal? _lastTrough;
	private decimal? _lastPeak;
	private decimal? _armedLong;
	private decimal? _armedShort;
	private decimal _exitLevel;
	private decimal? _prevK;
	private decimal? _prevD;

	/// <summary>
	/// Period for %K.
	/// </summary>
	public int KPeriod
	{
		get => _kPeriod.Value;
		set => _kPeriod.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// Period for %D.
	/// </summary>
	public int DPeriod
	{
		get => _dPeriod.Value;
		set => _dPeriod.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// %K level below which troughs count.
	/// </summary>
	public decimal OversoldLevel
	{
		get => _oversoldLevel.Value;
		set => _oversoldLevel.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// %K level above which peaks count.
	/// </summary>
	public decimal OverboughtLevel
	{
		get => _overboughtLevel.Value;
		set => _overboughtLevel.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// Stop-loss percentage.
	/// </summary>
	public decimal StopLossPercent
	{
		get => _stopLossPercent.Value;
		set => _stopLossPercent.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// Candle type.
	/// </summary>
	public DataType CandleType
	{
		get => _candleType.Value;
		set => _candleType.Value = value;
	}

	/// <summary>
	/// Constructor.
	/// </summary>
	public StochasticFailureSwingStrategy()
	{
		_kPeriod = Param(nameof(KPeriod), 14)
			.SetGreaterThanZero()
			.SetDisplay("K Period", "Period for %K", "Indicators");

		_dPeriod = Param(nameof(DPeriod), 3)
			.SetGreaterThanZero()
			.SetDisplay("D Period", "Period for %D", "Indicators");

		_oversoldLevel = Param(nameof(OversoldLevel), 20m)
			.SetDisplay("Oversold Level", "%K level below which troughs count", "Levels");

		_overboughtLevel = Param(nameof(OverboughtLevel), 80m)
			.SetDisplay("Overbought Level", "%K level above which peaks count", "Levels");

		_stopLossPercent = Param(nameof(StopLossPercent), 2m)
			.SetNotNegative()
			.SetDisplay("Stop Loss %", "Stop loss percentage from entry price", "Risk");

		_candleType = Param(nameof(CandleType), TimeSpan.FromMinutes(15).TimeFrame())
			.SetDisplay("Candle Type", "Type of candles to use", "General");
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	public override IEnumerable<(Security sec, DataType dt)> GetWorkingSecurities()
	{
		return [(Security, CandleType)];
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	protected override void OnReseted()
	{
		base.OnReseted();
		ResetState();
	}

	private void ResetState()
	{
		_last = null;
		_beforeLast = null;
		_lastTrough = null;
		_lastPeak = null;
		_armedLong = null;
		_armedShort = null;
		_exitLevel = default;
		_prevK = null;
		_prevD = null;
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	protected override void OnStarted2(DateTime time)
	{
		base.OnStarted2(time);

		ResetState();

		var oscillator = new StochasticOscillator
		{
			K = { Length = KPeriod },
			D = { Length = DPeriod },
		};

		var subscription = SubscribeCandles(CandleType);
		subscription
			.BindEx(oscillator, ProcessCandle)
			.Start();

		StartProtection(new Unit(), new Unit(StopLossPercent, UnitTypes.Percent), useMarketOrders: true, isLocalStop: true);

		// The stop has to see prices between candles, not only at their close.
		foreach (var field in new[] { Level1Fields.BestBidPrice, Level1Fields.BestAskPrice })
		{
			var quotes = new Subscription(DataType.Level1, Security);
			quotes.MarketData.BuildField = field;
			SubscribeLevel1(quotes).Bind(ObserveProtectionQuote).Start();
		}

		var area = CreateChartArea();
		if (area != null)
		{
			DrawCandles(area, subscription);
			DrawIndicator(area, oscillator);
			DrawOwnTrades(area);
		}
	}

	private void ObserveProtectionQuote(Level1ChangeMessage quote)
	{
		// The high-level handler activates native protection before this callback, also between signal bars.
	}

	private void ProcessCandle(ICandleMessage candle, IIndicatorValue value)
	{
		if (candle.State != CandleStates.Finished || !value.IsFormed || value.IsEmpty || value is not IStochasticOscillatorValue { K: decimal current, D: decimal signal })
			return;

		if (_last is decimal last)
		{
			// The previous value is a trough or a peak once the current one turns away from it.
			if (_beforeLast is decimal beforeLast)
			{
				if (last < beforeLast && last < current && last < OversoldLevel)
				{
					_armedLong = _lastTrough is decimal trough && last > trough ? last : null;
					_lastTrough = last;
				}
				else if (last > beforeLast && last > current && last > OverboughtLevel)
				{
					_armedShort = _lastPeak is decimal peak && last < peak ? last : null;
					_lastPeak = last;
				}
			}

			var longTrigger = _prevK is decimal pk && _prevD is decimal pd && pk <= pd && current > signal;
			var shortTrigger = _prevK is decimal pk2 && _prevD is decimal pd2 && pk2 >= pd2 && current < signal;
			var armedLong = longTrigger ? _armedLong : null;
			var armedShort = shortTrigger ? _armedShort : null;

			if (longTrigger)
				_armedLong = null;

			if (shortTrigger)
				_armedShort = null;

			if (IsFormedAndOnlineAndAllowTrading())
			{
				if (Position > 0)
				{
					if (current < _exitLevel)
						SellMarket(Position);
				}
				else if (Position < 0)
				{
					if (current > _exitLevel)
						BuyMarket(-Position);
				}
				else if (armedLong is decimal longSwing)
				{
					BuyMarket(Volume);
					_exitLevel = longSwing;
				}
				else if (armedShort is decimal shortSwing)
				{
					SellMarket(Volume);
					_exitLevel = shortSwing;
				}
			}
		}

		_beforeLast = _last;
		_last = current;
		_prevK = current;
		_prevD = signal;
	}
}