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Low Volatility Stocks

Handelsregeln

Einfache Tagesrenditen r[d] = P[d] / P[d−1] − 1 über VolWindowDays Intervalle aus VolWindowDays + 1 abgeschlossenen Tageskursen berechnen. Volatilität ist die Stichprobenstandardabweichung sqrt(Σ(r−mean(r))² / (VolWindowDays−1)). Monatlich das niedrigste Deciles-Segment kaufen und das höchste verkaufen, jeweils floor(geeignete Anzahl / Deciles). Gleiche USD-Budgets pro Seite; kein Benchmark-Spread, Trendfilter oder Intraday-Schwellenwert.

Nur abgeschlossene Kerzen mit gleichem Zeitstempel werden gemeinsam ausgewertet. Statistiken zählen verschiedene UTC-Daten; weitere Intraday-Kerzen ersetzen den Tageswert. Die erste geeignete gemeinsame Kerze jedes Monats löst genau eine Umschichtung aus. Unvollständige Daten verschieben sie. Gleiche Werte werden nach Security.Id sortiert.

Alle Beobachtungen müssen bis zum Schluss der Signalkerze veröffentlicht sein. Intraday zählen nur Tageskurse vor dem aktuellen UTC-Datum; eine abgeschlossene Tageskerze zählt ihr eigenes Datum. Zukünftige CSV-Daten dürfen keine Entscheidung vorwärmen.

Eingabedaten

PriceHistoryFile ist eine optionale CSV positiver Tagesschlusskurse: SecurityId,Date,Close; Datum yyyy-MM-dd. Aktuelle und zukünftige Daten dürfen eine Entscheidung nicht vorwärmen. Live-Schlusskurse ersetzen den jeweiligen UTC-Tageswert. Doppelte Daten sind ungültig. Die Datei ermöglicht lange Rückblicke bei kurzen Ausführungsarchiven.

Parameter

Parameter Standard
Universe erforderlich
Capital 100000
Leverage 1
MinTradeUsd 200
CandleType TimeSpan.FromDays(1).TimeFrame()
PriceHistoryFile optional — nicht gesetzt
VolWindowDays 60
Deciles 10

Ausführung

Universe muss explizit angegeben werden. Preise und Capital sind in USD je gehandelter Einheit angegeben. Capital ist ein festes Budget; Leverage bestimmt das Bruttoengagement. Es werden keine Stop-Loss- oder Take-Profit-Orders hinzugefügt.

Jede Seite erhält die Hälfte von Capital × Leverage, gleichmäßig auf ihre Titel verteilt. Stückzahlen basieren auf dem Signalschlusskurs und werden zu null auf VolumeStep gerundet. Tatsächliche Ausführungen bestimmen den Bestand. Offene Orders werden abgewartet, MinVolume/MaxVolume eingehalten und große Anpassungen auf spätere Kerzen verteilt. MinTradeUsd gilt nicht für vollständige Glattstellungen.

Prüfung

Beide Sprachen werden mit gebündelten BTC/TON-Ausführungsdaten sowie expliziten Zins-, Finanz-, Bewertungs-, Text- und Aufwärmfixtures geprüft. Kalenderfixtures verschieben Archiv-OHLC/Volumina und setzen Ausführungskurse; dies ist keine mehrjährige Markthistorie. Unabhängige Formeln, Orderrichtung/-menge, echte Ausführungen, Restpositionen und gesperrte Termine werden geprüft. Zwei Gruppen, K=1 und AssetDecile=1 sind deklarierte Mechanikprofile, kein Nachweis für ein vollständiges Handelsuniversum. Keine Renditezusage.

namespace StockSharp.Samples.Strategies;

using System;
using System.Collections.Generic;
using System.Globalization;
using System.IO;
using System.Linq;

using Ecng.Common;

using StockSharp.Algo.Strategies;
using StockSharp.BusinessEntities;
using StockSharp.Messages;

/// <summary>Low Volatility Stocks with point-in-time inputs and execution-based portfolio accounting.</summary>
public class LowVolatilityStocksStrategy : Strategy
{
	private readonly StrategyParam<IEnumerable<Security>> _universe;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _capital;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _leverage;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _minTradeUsd;
	private readonly StrategyParam<DataType> _candleType;
	private readonly StrategyParam<string> _priceHistoryFile;
	private readonly StrategyParam<int> _volWindowDays;
	private readonly StrategyParam<int> _deciles;
	private Security[] _securities = [];
	private readonly Dictionary<Security, (DateTime time, decimal price)> _latest = [];
	private readonly Dictionary<Security, SortedDictionary<DateTime, decimal>> _history = [];
	private readonly Dictionary<Security, decimal> _targets = [];
	private readonly List<Order> _pending = [];
	private int _lastRebalance;
	private DateTime? _lastBar;

	/// <summary>Explicit execution securities with valid native volume metadata.</summary>
	public IEnumerable<Security> Universe { get => _universe.Value; set => _universe.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Fixed capital budget in USD.</summary>
	public decimal Capital { get => _capital.Value; set => _capital.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Gross target exposure divided by the capital budget.</summary>
	public decimal Leverage { get => _leverage.Value; set => _leverage.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Minimum USD adjustment; complete liquidation bypasses this filter.</summary>
	public decimal MinTradeUsd { get => _minTradeUsd.Value; set => _minTradeUsd.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Finished execution candle type.</summary>
	public DataType CandleType { get => _candleType.Value; set => _candleType.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Optional daily close CSV; future dates cannot prefill a decision.</summary>
	public string PriceHistoryFile { get => _priceHistoryFile.Value; set => _priceHistoryFile.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Completed daily returns in the sample standard deviation.</summary>
	public int VolWindowDays { get => _volWindowDays.Value; set => _volWindowDays.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Number of volatility buckets.</summary>
	public int Deciles { get => _deciles.Value; set => _deciles.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Initialize the strategy parameters.</summary>
	public LowVolatilityStocksStrategy()
	{
		_universe = Param<IEnumerable<Security>>(nameof(Universe)).SetRequired()
			.SetDisplay("Universe", "Explicit execution securities with valid native volume metadata", "Parameters");
		_capital = Param(nameof(Capital), 100000m).SetGreaterThanZero()
			.SetDisplay("Capital", "Fixed capital budget in USD", "Parameters");
		_leverage = Param(nameof(Leverage), 1m).SetGreaterThanZero()
			.SetDisplay("Leverage", "Gross target exposure divided by the capital budget", "Parameters");
		_minTradeUsd = Param(nameof(MinTradeUsd), 200m).SetRange(0m, decimal.MaxValue)
			.SetDisplay("MinTradeUsd", "Minimum USD adjustment; complete liquidation bypasses this filter", "Parameters");
		_candleType = Param(nameof(CandleType), TimeSpan.FromMinutes(1440).TimeFrame())
			.SetDisplay("CandleType", "Finished execution candle type", "Parameters");
		_priceHistoryFile = Param<string>(nameof(PriceHistoryFile))
			.SetDisplay("PriceHistoryFile", "Optional daily close CSV; future dates cannot prefill a decision", "Parameters");
		_volWindowDays = Param(nameof(VolWindowDays), 60).SetRange(2, int.MaxValue)
			.SetDisplay("VolWindowDays", "Completed daily returns in the sample standard deviation", "Parameters");
		_deciles = Param(nameof(Deciles), 10).SetRange(2, int.MaxValue)
			.SetDisplay("Deciles", "Number of volatility buckets", "Parameters");
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	public override IEnumerable<(Security sec, DataType dt)> GetWorkingSecurities()
		=> (Universe ?? []).Where(s => s is not null).DistinctBy(s => s.Id, StringComparer.OrdinalIgnoreCase).Select(s => (s, CandleType));

	/// <inheritdoc />
	protected override void OnReseted()
	{
		base.OnReseted();
		_securities = [];
		_latest.Clear();
		_history.Clear();
		_targets.Clear();
		_pending.Clear();
		_lastRebalance = 0;
		_lastBar = null;
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	protected override void OnStarted2(DateTime time)
	{
		_securities = (Universe ?? []).ToArray();
		if (_securities.Length == 0 || _securities.Any(s => s is null || string.IsNullOrWhiteSpace(s.Id))
			|| _securities.Select(s => s.Id).Distinct(StringComparer.OrdinalIgnoreCase).Count() != _securities.Length)
			throw new InvalidOperationException("Universe must contain distinct execution securities.");
		foreach (var security in _securities)
		{
			if (security.VolumeStep is not > 0m || security.MinVolume is not > 0m || security.MaxVolume is not > 0m)
				throw new InvalidOperationException("Every security needs positive VolumeStep, MinVolume and MaxVolume.");
			_history[security] = [];
		}
		LoadPriceHistory();

		base.OnStarted2(time);
		foreach (var security in _securities)
			SubscribeCandles(CandleType, security: security).Bind(candle => ProcessCandle(security, candle)).Start();
	}

	private void ProcessCandle(Security security, ICandleMessage candle)
	{
		if (candle.State != CandleStates.Finished || candle.ClosePrice <= 0m) return;
		_latest[security] = (candle.OpenTime, candle.ClosePrice);
		_history[security][candle.OpenTime.Date] = candle.ClosePrice;
		if (_latest.Count != _securities.Length || _latest.Values.Any(v => v.time != candle.OpenTime)
			|| _lastBar == candle.OpenTime || !IsFormedAndOnlineAndAllowTrading()) return;
		_lastBar = candle.OpenTime;
		var month = candle.OpenTime.Year * 100 + candle.OpenTime.Month;
		if (_lastRebalance != month && SelectTargets(candle.OpenTime))
			_lastRebalance = month;
		ReconcileTargets();
	}

	private decimal Budget => Capital * Leverage;

	private DateTime AsOf(DateTime time)
		=> CandleType.Arg is TimeSpan frame ? time.Add(frame).AddTicks(-1) : time;

	private decimal UnitPrice(Security security) => _latest[security].price;

	private decimal Units(Security security, decimal notional)
		=> Math.Floor(notional / UnitPrice(security) / security.VolumeStep.Value) * security.VolumeStep.Value;

	private void ReconcileTargets()
	{
		if (_pending.Any(o => o.State is not (OrderStates.Done or OrderStates.Failed))) return;
		_pending.Clear();
		foreach (var security in _securities)
		{
			if (!_targets.TryGetValue(security, out var target)) continue;
			var delta = target - GetPositionValue(security, Portfolio).GetValueOrDefault();
			if (delta == 0m || (target != 0m && Math.Abs(delta) * UnitPrice(security) < MinTradeUsd)) continue;
			var step = security.VolumeStep.Value;
			var quantity = Math.Floor(Math.Min(Math.Abs(delta), security.MaxVolume.Value) / step) * step;
			if (quantity < security.MinVolume.Value) continue;
			var order = new Order
			{
				Security = security, Portfolio = Portfolio, Type = OrderTypes.Market,
				Side = delta > 0m ? Sides.Buy : Sides.Sell, Volume = quantity, Comment = "0377Rebalance",
			};
			_pending.Add(order);
			RegisterOrder(order);
		}
	}

	private static DateTime ParseUtc(string value)
		=> DateTime.ParseExact(value.Trim(), "yyyy-MM-dd'T'HH:mm:ss'Z'", CultureInfo.InvariantCulture, DateTimeStyles.AssumeUniversal | DateTimeStyles.AdjustToUniversal);

	private static IEnumerable<string[]> ReadRows(string path, string header, int fields)
	{
		using var lines = File.ReadLines(path).GetEnumerator();
		if (!lines.MoveNext() || lines.Current.Trim() != header)
			throw new InvalidOperationException("Invalid CSV header: expected " + header + ".");
		while (lines.MoveNext())
		{
			if (string.IsNullOrWhiteSpace(lines.Current)) continue;
			var row = lines.Current.Split(',');
			if (row.Length != fields) throw new InvalidOperationException("Invalid CSV field count.");
			yield return row;
		}
	}

	private DateTime LastClosedDate(DateTime time)
		=> CandleType.Arg is TimeSpan frame && frame == TimeSpan.FromDays(1) ? time.Date : time.Date.AddDays(-1);

	private decimal[] Daily(Security security, DateTime time, int count, DateTime cutoff)
		=> _history[security].Where(x => x.Key <= LastClosedDate(time) && x.Key < cutoff).Select(x => x.Value).TakeLast(count).ToArray();

	private void LoadPriceHistory()
	{
		if (string.IsNullOrWhiteSpace(PriceHistoryFile)) return;
		foreach (var row in ReadRows(PriceHistoryFile, "SecurityId,Date,Close", 3))
		{
			var security = _securities.SingleOrDefault(s => string.Equals(s.Id, row[0].Trim(), StringComparison.OrdinalIgnoreCase));
			if (security is null) continue;
			var date = DateTime.ParseExact(row[1].Trim(), "yyyy-MM-dd", CultureInfo.InvariantCulture);
			var price = decimal.Parse(row[2], CultureInfo.InvariantCulture);
			if (price <= 0m || !_history[security].TryAdd(date, price))
				throw new InvalidOperationException("Daily prices must be positive and unique per security and UTC date.");
		}
	}

	private bool SelectTargets(DateTime time)
	{
		var scores = new List<(Security security, double score)>();
		foreach (var security in _securities)
		{
			var prices = Daily(security, time, VolWindowDays + 1, DateTime.MaxValue);
			if (prices.Length != VolWindowDays + 1) continue;
			var returns = prices.Skip(1).Select((p, i) => (double)(p / prices[i] - 1m)).ToArray();
			var mean = returns.Average();
			var deviation = Math.Sqrt(returns.Sum(r => (r - mean) * (r - mean)) / (VolWindowDays - 1));
			scores.Add((security, deviation));
		}
		if (scores.Count < Deciles) return false;
		var ranked = scores.OrderBy(x => x.score).ThenBy(x => x.security.Id, StringComparer.Ordinal).Select(x => x.security).ToArray();
		var count = ranked.Length / Deciles;
		SetBasketTargets(ranked.Take(count), ranked.TakeLast(count), Budget);
		return true;
	}

	private void SetBasketTargets(IEnumerable<Security> longBasket, IEnumerable<Security> shortBasket, decimal grossCapital)
	{
		var longs = longBasket.ToArray();
		var shorts = shortBasket.ToArray();
		foreach (var security in _securities) _targets[security] = 0m;
		foreach (var security in longs) _targets[security] = Units(security, grossCapital / (2m * longs.Length));
		foreach (var security in shorts) _targets[security] = -Units(security, grossCapital / (2m * shorts.Length));
	}
}