Auf GitHub ansehen

Hull MA Implied Volatility Breakout

Handelsregeln

HMA = WMA(2 × WMA(Close, floor(HmaPeriod/2)) − WMA(Close, HmaPeriod), floor(sqrt(HmaPeriod))). Ein vollständiger aktueller und vorheriger HMA-Wert sind nötig. Aus flachem Bestand bei steigendem HMA kaufen, bei fallendem verkaufen, nur wenn beobachtete IV > vorheriger Mittelwert + IVMultiplier × σ. IV stammt in einheitlicher Einheit vom Optionsmarkt, nicht aus Kerzenspannen. Fallender HMA schließt Long, steigender Short auch bei fehlender oder normaler IV. Gleiche Werte geben kein Signal.

Mittelwert und Stichproben-Standardabweichung verwenden die vorherigen N aufeinanderfolgenden Beobachtungen ohne den aktuellen Wert: σ = sqrt(Σ(x − mean)² / (N − 1)). Das gesamte Fenster ist nötig. Es gibt keine Zufallswerte oder aus Preisen abgeleiteten Ersatzwerte.

Eingabedaten

Die erforderliche CSV hat den Kopf SecurityId,Time,Value. Time ist der UTC-Eröffnungszeitpunkt der Signalkerze (yyyy-MM-ddTHH:mm:ssZ). Beobachtete Werte müssen endlich, nichtnegativ und je Zeitpunkt eindeutig sein. Nur die aktuelle Beobachtung gilt. Lücken leeren das Filterfenster und sperren Einstiege bis zur erneuten Initialisierung; Ausstiege bleiben aktiv.

Parameter

Parameter Standardwert
HmaPeriod 9
IVPeriod 20
IVMultiplier 2
IVHistoryFile erforderlich
AtrPeriod 14
StopLossAtr 2
CandleType TimeSpan.FromMinutes(15).TimeFrame()

Ausführung

AtrPeriod = 14 verwendet Wilder-ATR. Beim Einstieg wird ATR(Signal) × StopLossAtr als Abstand fixiert. Lokaler nativer Marktschutz überwacht Quotes, verankert den Abstand am tatsächlichen Ausführungspreis und kann zwischen Signalkerzen schließen. Spätere ATR-Werte verschieben den Stop nicht. Null deaktiviert den Schutz für einen neuen Lauf. Ein Gegensignal schließt den gesamten Restbestand ohne sofortige Umkehr oder Aufstockung.

Prüfung

Ausführungen werden ausschließlich mit dem vorhandenen BTC/TON-Archiv geprüft. Explizite Berichts-, Options- und Vorwärmdaten sind mechanische Testdaten, keine echten Unternehmens- oder Optionsdaten. Kürzere Fenster, zwei Gruppen und März als jährlicher Termin sind benannte Testprofile, kein Nachweis für unveränderte langfristige Standardwerte. Es wird keine Rendite behauptet.

namespace StockSharp.Samples.Strategies;

using System;
using System.Collections.Generic;
using System.Globalization;
using System.IO;
using System.Linq;

using Ecng.Common;

using StockSharp.Algo.Indicators;
using StockSharp.Algo.Strategies;
using StockSharp.BusinessEntities;
using StockSharp.Messages;

/// <summary>Hull slope with observed implied volatility breakouts and frozen ATR protection.</summary>
public class HullMAWithImpliedVolatilityBreakoutStrategy : Strategy
{
	private readonly StrategyParam<int> _hmaPeriod;
	private readonly StrategyParam<int> _iVPeriod;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _iVMultiplier;
	private readonly StrategyParam<string> _iVHistoryFile;
	private readonly StrategyParam<int> _atrPeriod;
	private readonly StrategyParam<decimal> _stopLossAtr;
	private readonly StrategyParam<DataType> _candleType;
	private readonly Dictionary<DateTime, decimal> _observations = [];
	private readonly Queue<decimal> _history = [];
	private decimal? _previousHull;
	private Order _signalOrder;

	/// <summary>Hull moving average length.</summary>
	public int HmaPeriod { get => _hmaPeriod.Value; set => _hmaPeriod.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Prior consecutive implied volatility observations used for the threshold.</summary>
	public int IVPeriod { get => _iVPeriod.Value; set => _iVPeriod.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Sample standard deviation multiplier for the IV breakout.</summary>
	public decimal IVMultiplier { get => _iVMultiplier.Value; set => _iVMultiplier.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>CSV observed implied volatility in a consistent unit, keyed by candle UTC open time.</summary>
	public string IVHistoryFile { get => _iVHistoryFile.Value; set => _iVHistoryFile.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Wilder ATR length for entry protection.</summary>
	public int AtrPeriod { get => _atrPeriod.Value; set => _atrPeriod.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Entry-frozen native stop distance in ATR multiples; zero disables it for a fresh run.</summary>
	public decimal StopLossAtr { get => _stopLossAtr.Value; set => _stopLossAtr.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Completed signal candle type.</summary>
	public DataType CandleType { get => _candleType.Value; set => _candleType.Value = value; }

	/// <summary>Initialize the signal and protection parameters.</summary>
	public HullMAWithImpliedVolatilityBreakoutStrategy()
	{
		_hmaPeriod = Param(nameof(HmaPeriod), 9).SetRange(2, 100000).SetOptimize(5, 15, 2)
			.SetDisplay("HmaPeriod", "Hull moving average length", "Parameters");
		_iVPeriod = Param(nameof(IVPeriod), 20).SetRange(2, 100000).SetOptimize(10, 30, 5)
			.SetDisplay("IVPeriod", "Prior consecutive implied volatility observations used for the threshold", "Parameters");
		_iVMultiplier = Param(nameof(IVMultiplier), 2m).SetGreaterThanZero().SetOptimize(1.5m, 3m, 0.5m)
			.SetDisplay("IVMultiplier", "Sample standard deviation multiplier for the IV breakout", "Parameters");
		_iVHistoryFile = Param<string>(nameof(IVHistoryFile)).SetRequired()
			.SetDisplay("IVHistoryFile", "CSV observed implied volatility in a consistent unit, keyed by candle UTC open time", "Parameters");
		_atrPeriod = Param(nameof(AtrPeriod), 14).SetGreaterThanZero()
			.SetDisplay("AtrPeriod", "Wilder ATR length for entry protection", "Parameters");
		_stopLossAtr = Param(nameof(StopLossAtr), 2m).SetRange(0m, decimal.MaxValue).SetOptimize(1m, 3m, 0.5m)
			.SetDisplay("StopLossAtr", "Entry-frozen native stop distance in ATR multiples; zero disables it for a fresh run", "Parameters");
		_candleType = Param(nameof(CandleType), TimeSpan.FromMinutes(15).TimeFrame())
			.SetDisplay("CandleType", "Completed signal candle type", "Parameters");
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	public override IEnumerable<(Security sec, DataType dt)> GetWorkingSecurities() => [(Security, CandleType)];

	/// <inheritdoc />
	protected override void OnReseted()
	{
		base.OnReseted();
		_observations.Clear();
		_history.Clear();
		_previousHull = null;
		_signalOrder = null;
	}

	/// <inheritdoc />
	protected override void OnStarted2(DateTime time)
	{
		LoadObservations();
		base.OnStarted2(time);
		var signal = new HullMovingAverage { Length = HmaPeriod };
		var atr = new AverageTrueRange { Length = AtrPeriod };
		var subscription = SubscribeCandles(CandleType);
		subscription.BindEx(signal, atr, ProcessCandle, allowEmpty: true).Start();
		foreach (var field in new[] { Level1Fields.BestBidPrice, Level1Fields.BestAskPrice })
		{
			var quote = new Subscription(DataType.Level1, Security);
			quote.MarketData.BuildField = field;
			SubscribeLevel1(quote).Start();
		}
		var area = CreateChartArea();
		if (area != null)
		{
			DrawCandles(area, subscription);
			DrawIndicator(area, signal);
			DrawOwnTrades(area);
		}
	}

	private void ProcessCandle(ICandleMessage candle, IIndicatorValue signalValue, IIndicatorValue atrValue)
	{
		if (candle.State != CandleStates.Finished) return;
		var ready = _observations.TryGetValue(candle.OpenTime, out var observation);
		var low = false;
		var high = false;
		if (ready && _history.Count == IVPeriod)
		{
			var mean = _history.Average();
			var deviation = (decimal)Math.Sqrt((double)(_history.Sum(x => (x - mean) * (x - mean)) / (_history.Count - 1)));
			low = observation < mean - IVMultiplier * deviation;
			high = observation > mean + IVMultiplier * deviation;
		}
		if (!ready) _history.Clear();
		else
		{
			_history.Enqueue(observation);
			while (_history.Count > IVPeriod) _history.Dequeue();
		}
		if (signalValue.IsEmpty || !signalValue.IsFormed) return;
		var current = signalValue.GetValue<decimal>();
		var up = _previousHull is decimal previousUp && current > previousUp;
		var down = _previousHull is decimal previousDown && current < previousDown;
		_previousHull = current;
		if (!IsFormedAndOnlineAndAllowTrading() || _signalOrder is { State: not (OrderStates.Done or OrderStates.Failed) }) return;
		if ((Position > 0m && down) || (Position < 0m && up))
		{
			Submit(Position > 0m ? Sides.Sell : Sides.Buy, Math.Abs(Position), "0344Exit");
			return;
		}
		if (Position != 0m || atrValue.IsEmpty || !atrValue.IsFormed) return;
		var atr = atrValue.GetValue<decimal>();
		if (atr <= 0m) return;
		Sides? side = up && high ? Sides.Buy : down && high ? Sides.Sell : null;
		if (side is null) return;
		if (StopLossAtr > 0m)
			StartProtection(new Unit(), new Unit(atr * StopLossAtr, UnitTypes.Absolute), useMarketOrders: true, isLocalStop: true);
		Submit(side.Value, Volume, "0344Entry");
	}

	private void Submit(Sides side, decimal quantity, string comment)
	{
		_signalOrder = CreateOrder(side, 0m, quantity);
		_signalOrder.Type = OrderTypes.Market;
		_signalOrder.Comment = comment;
		RegisterOrder(_signalOrder);
	}

	private void LoadObservations()
	{
		if (string.IsNullOrWhiteSpace(IVHistoryFile))
			throw new InvalidOperationException("IVHistoryFile is required.");
		_observations.Clear();
		var lines = File.ReadLines(IVHistoryFile).GetEnumerator();
		using (lines)
		{
			if (!lines.MoveNext() || lines.Current.Trim() != "SecurityId,Time,Value")
				throw new InvalidOperationException("Option observations must begin with SecurityId,Time,Value.");
			while (lines.MoveNext())
			{
				if (string.IsNullOrWhiteSpace(lines.Current)) continue;
				var row = lines.Current.Split(',');
				if (row.Length != 3) throw new InvalidOperationException("An option observation must have three fields.");
				if (!string.Equals(row[0].Trim(), Security.Id, StringComparison.OrdinalIgnoreCase)) continue;
				var time = DateTime.ParseExact(row[1].Trim(), "yyyy-MM-dd'T'HH:mm:ss'Z'", CultureInfo.InvariantCulture, DateTimeStyles.AssumeUniversal | DateTimeStyles.AdjustToUniversal);
				var value = decimal.Parse(row[2], CultureInfo.InvariantCulture);
				if (value < 0m || !_observations.TryAdd(time, value))
					throw new InvalidOperationException("Option observations must be nonnegative and unique per timestamp.");
			}
		}
		if (_observations.Count == 0) throw new InvalidOperationException("No option observations match the execution security.");
	}
}